Political Articles
THE WALL
The Wall!
While the war between RUSSIA and UKRAINE continues at full speed, the ECONOMIC results are getting different day by day. It is unknown where this pressure will take the region and the world. When the USA and the West imposed sanctions on Russia, first there was a gas crisis. Then the fluctuation in oil prices. With the war, we saw prices skyrocketing to $140. West’s 60 dollar ceiling price application increased the tension again. Medvedev made another warning by saying, “You can see the prices that no one will think of”… With a gun…
The fact that the EU, the USA and the United Kingdom started to reduce their fossil fuel imports due to the war initiated by Russia in Ukraine made it necessary to change the course of KREMLIN. Normally. After the ceiling price of 60 dollars, RUSSIA pressed the button to sell oil for cheaper. For example, India, which imported a maximum of 35,000 barrels of crude oil from Russia in 2021, had almost no imports in January and February 2022. With the sale of Russian crude oil at a discount, India’s purchases from this country increased in March 2022. It reached the level of 68 thousand barrels per day. India’s crude oil purchases from Russia increased steadily in the following months.
As of November 2022, it reached approximately 959 thousand barrels per day. Thus, India’s daily crude oil imports from Russia increased 14 times in the March-November period. The EU was imposing sanctions, pushing the button again on 5 DECEMBER, and Russia was finding another market. It had to find it, even if it was cheap. For this reason, Russia’s seaborne crude oil exports to India increased 14 times during the war, tripled in Turkiye, and 1.6 times in China. The imports of China, which is currently the largest buyer of Russian crude oil, increased from 670 thousand barrels per day in February 2022, when the war began, to 1.08 million barrels per day, increasing approximately 1.6 times as of November 2022. Russia’s crude oil exports to Turkiye, on the other hand, reached 327 thousand barrels last month from 110 thousand barrels in this period. There was 3 times more increase.
The United Arab Emirates also joined the countries that increased their purchases of cheap Russian oil after the war. In May 2022, it imported 35,000 barrels per day from Russia, where it has not purchased any crude oil since June 2020. Last month, it imported 28 thousand barrels per day. Even if it was an oil producer, it bought it because it was “cheap”. After Trump’s visit, which went down in history when he met with millions of Indians, it was seen that one of the winners of the war was INDIA, which the USA had supported. When the EU closed the gates, Russia turned to the EAST, and India was buying almost as much oil as China.
But it was cheaper than that of other manufacturers that Russia sells. Also, the INSURANCE SYSTEM saw the tankers carrying RUSSIAN OIL at the danger limit and were not covered. This difficulty prevented the ships from carrying Russian oil. While the EUROPEAN UNION, which was far away from Russian gas and oil, was thinking about how to spend the winter, the Kremlin was also losing its income. And Moscow, which produces 7-8 million oil per day, had to withdraw these figures. Between the TWO AXES, the Russian roulette was growing at full speed…
Russia brought the energy card to the table, the EU was shaking. Its industry did not have a chance to find a new path. When the opportunities to compete disappeared, they naturally distanced themselves from CHINA. The same thing was seen in China. The crisis in their largest market was affecting them negatively. Meanwhile, INDIA, which is thought to be the rival of CHINA, was turning the conditions into an opportunity as a surprise player…
All these were indicating that there would be major breaks in the global economic system. This change would not be painless. It couldn’t be. Also, considering that STATES’ DEBT AMOUNTS have climbed to higher levels than ever before, the ground was not suitable for positive comments. Considering the fact that 65 trillion dollars was floating for nothing, we were in a position to see that a big plan was staged with a great noise and would be put on the stage…
The fact that the loser would be the EU was in the first place among the options! As of February 24, it is clear that Russia has pressed the button for the new system for the new world. A new page is opening where the players and their roles will change…
No one knows the last frame.
But the storm has begun. Meanwhile, Albanian Prime Minister Edi Rama said a few days ago that Turkiye’s role in the Ukraine-Russia War is a good example of “middle power” activism. Rama also stated that the war in Ukraine was “a turning point for European and Western security”. “The invasion of Crimea should have been a non-negotiable red line for both the European Union and NATO,” said the Albanian Prime Minister, adding, “It was thought that such a border violation would only lead to conflicts. It was not calculated that there might be consequences for the security of the West…” He said important things that we can hear from the mouth of a great leader of a great state…
Rama said that Turkiye has made a great contribution to Europe and global security. In the final, “Europe’s honor would not have been preserved without Merkel. Without President Erdogan, the walls of Europe could not stand,” he said. How could the EU, whose survival depended heavily on Erdoğan, would support Mr. Kilicdaroglu and the table he established…
We are in a phase where those who foresee the beginning of change will win. While the actors and roles are changing, is there a place for 6-party opposition table and Mr. Kilicdaroglu on a global scale? This is what needs to be considered… Could this be the reason for the uncertainty and indecision about the CANDIDATE in the 6-party opposition table and CHP? Let’s think…
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13.12.2022
Political Articles
CAPTAIN
Captain
On the way to the SECOND ROUND, I shared Kemal Kilicdaroglu’s change of lanes, and before President Erdogan’s group speech on June 1, 2022 and the passwords there. Let’s take a general look at May 28 today. Let’s analyze what’s going on from this point of view…
The development and being on the track of the political system in Turkiye happened after the second world war. The USA came to EUROPE as a savior, dived among the forces fighting each other TWICE and ended it. The USA, which ended the war with its military and economic power, brought the new system it wanted everywhere and did what could never be tried and done before. IT WAS EMERGING THE WORLD EMPIRE. Besides its military power, the DOLLAR was becoming reserve money and building an enormous system. At the end of the war, the CONSTITUTION of countries such as GERMANY, ITALY and JAPAN was made by Washington and the Pentagon.
Although Turkiye did not enter the war, it was naturally affected by the new role distribution that started with BRETTON WOODS and was doing its part. We were advancing in the parliamentary system with multi-party life. The establishment of COALITIONS was the main goal! When this system came to many countries, things were running differently here. Those who adapted Turkiye to the system established after the SECOND WORLD WAR could not get the results they wanted in the ballot BOX. Even though the system was brought, it did not work out with Adnan Menderes-Celal Bayar. When the people started to vote, they did not use their preference for those who held control of the system. This was seen. Action was taken.
Those who came out of the ballot box were consented to the role of SECOND CAPTAIN ON THE AIRCRAFT. You are elected, you come by voting, but when the CAPTAIN wants, he can take the controller and disable you. There was a CAPTAIN that the nation did not see. He stepped in whenever he wanted. We were mostly experiencing this in the form of MEMORANDUM-WARNING-COUP- FINANCIAL OPERATIONS. The people could not liquidate the CAPTAIN, on the contrary, the CAPTAIN threw the CO-PILOT chosen by the people out of the cabin when they deemed it necessary. There were many examples… After the 1960 COUP, there was a depression. Although it was not taught in schools, this was the case.
Upon this, CAPTAIN PILOT’s bosses decided to do what they did in other countries here as well. No matter who was elected according to this movement plan, there would be a CONSTITUTION they would comply with. The constitution would be made by CAPTAIN and the power behind it, and even if the CAPTAIN was not on the plane, its landing and takeoff would be controlled. The 1960 STRUGGLE was actually a play staged to make a CONSTITUTION. In the following years, the same ANXIETY laid beneath its change from time to time!
Even if you were elected, you didn’t have a chance to rule the country. So what was the IMPACTS that took the stage as the CAPTAIN? IT WAS ABSOLUTELY THE APPLICATION OF MULTINATIONAL DECISIONS.
Let’s continue.
You are establishing a party, you are standing before the nation, you are telling about your plan and program, but even if you were elected and came, you could not be a BOSS. The AIRCRAFT would never be under your control. Those who insisted and said “I MANAGE THE AIRCRAFT” were also being pushed down the cabin one by one. From Menderes to Demirel… There were many examples… THE PEOPLE REBELLED AGAINST THE DRESS THAT WAS SEWED OUTSIDE AND DID NOT FIT, THEY WERE SHOWING IT AT THE BALLOT BOX WITH THEIR VOTES, BUT THE CAPTAIN OBJECTED AND COULD PUSH THE NATION aside.
The excuses that were spread out were usually based on reactions. When difficulty was felt in these two systems, engineering comes into play, “TURKISH” and “ISLAMIST” pieces are cut off from the parties in the CENTER, and the way for the WEAKENING OF THE MAIN MOVEMENT was opened.
Oddly enough, in Bretton Woods, the USA was adjusting the world, and GERMANY and the UK, which were on the sidelines, were going down to the field to protect their forces here. The losers on the GLOBAL SCALE were also fighting among themselves here. It was not possible for the nation to understand or analyze this either. Both institutions and capital were being divided. This was what happened from the 1960 coup to 1971, from 1980 to February 28, from 17-25 to July 15. A mind was constantly finding and looking for someone to put in the state room. Sometimes this was the army, sometimes the CAPITAL, sometimes communities, sometimes parties. There was always a PLAYER.
Even if the NATION VOTED, it could not come to power… Such a CONTRADICTION was going on. This was roughly the case. Erdogan was coming and eagerly getting to work, but he was also wanted to be liquidated by his party. He didn’t know. He was living and learning. The system was in progress by changing its shell and case. The difference was that Erdogan was determined and did not get scared and retreat.
Erdogan, who progressed by solving chronic problems, was the person who was asked to be expelled from the CABINET since he came. He always resisted and won every time. There were several reasons for this. The most important thing was that he could explain himself to the NATION. When he managed to come together with them, he was never alone. He had a story, a case, a voice, a message. The public was reading and understanding this correctly.
This was the point where CHP members had difficulty understanding. Even if Erdogan was the PRESIDENT, he was working hard like the first day. He was trying to solve every negativity. The country was growing and sitting on an independent line. As these were seen, the other party was PREPARING AN ATTACK WITH NEW METHODS! Headlines such as “ERDOGAN MUST GO”, “ERDOGAN’S PERIOD IS OVER”, “KILICDAROGLU, THE NAME TO END THE ERDOGAN PERIOD” were actually a request to return to the system that was brought long ago. They were camouflaging it by calling him a “DICTATOR”.
They were taking the state with the covers of “ERDOGAN MUST GO FOR DEMOCRACY”. In other words, while Erdogan represented Turkiye’s position on an independent line, the other party was rebelling against it. That’s why they were pushing nonstop. Does CHP leader Kilicdaroglu know these? I don’t know. However, I think he knows because he ‘asked for pardon’. The first round revealed that people did not show much interest in this. Maybe Mr. Kilicdaroglu was very good-intentioned and sincere.
However, the only motivation that brought together the components of the TABLE HE ESTABLISHED WAS STANDING AGAINST ERDOGAN. IT WAS PERCEIVED AS THE GAME OF THOSE WHO WANTED TO BRING THE OLD SYSTEM BACK. A SECURED BOND COULD NOT BE ESTABLISHED BETWEEN THE TABLE AND THE NATION. Erdogan, on the other hand, did not have such a problem.
For this reason, on May 28, the fight will be between those who wants to send Erdogan away from the cabinet and those who defends him. This naturally brought with it the question of who would rule TURKIYE.
Kilicdaroglu was also changing his lane and declaring that he had left the Captain’s ecole. And would that be convincing? Would he get something in return? WE WILL SEE THIS ON SUNDAY. On one hand, Erdogan, who has been flying with the nation for 21 years, on the other hand, Kilicdaroglu, who is a candidate to be the NEW CAPTAIN…
That was the brief definition of the battle…
It’s almost time. We will see…
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27.05.2023
Political Articles
WAGON CHANGE
Wagon Change
In general, we look at what is happening with the weakness of loving the uniform. I guess this has nothing to do with education either. You love what you love, you don’t like what you don’t like. This is a bit like this with us. For many reasons, a mass wants “Mr. Kilicdaroglu to win, Erdogan to go”. This is not difficult to understand! Another point is difficult to understand!
Kilicdaroglu first planned a table on his way to May 14th. He also established it. As I often write, a player had to be included as NATIONAL CORE. This was Mrs. Aksener. The same CORE was standing with the MHP on the opposite side. Mr. Kilicdaroglu walked for a long time with this TABLE he founded and did not announce his CANDIDACY.
When he saw the question I often asked, “Friends at the table nominated me. I was nominated,” he said. He expected us to believe this too. I don’t know who objected to this from the CHP. Kilicdaroglu also neutralized Mrs. Aksener with the system he brought. He continued his insistence. After the election, it was LATE when he REALIZED THAT HE NEEDED NATIONALIST VOTES.
CHP members are not interested at all, or few are aware of what is going on. Kilicdaroglu, who somehow came to May 14, and Kilicdaroglu, who took the stage after the morning of May 15, were never the same man. Oddly enough, there was no one looking at this! It was obviously easy to continue with the love of uniform. They did not want to lose the comfort.
Addressing from the kitchen of his house, mass meetings, halls, squares and social media until May 14, the CHP leader was a LEADER WHO STAYED CLOSE TO GLOBAL POLICIES, DEFENDED THE EU AND SHOWED THAT PLACE AS A TARGET. That is clear! This has changed. It has changed with the speed of light. That’s what I had a hard time understanding! A leader, a TABLE goes in the opposite direction in one day, and no one was focusing on it. There was no trace of Kilicdaroglu, who laid back on the EU and challenged Russia…
For example, “We, as the CHP, are a party that has turned our faces to contemporary civilization since the date we were founded. As CHP, we see full membership in the European Union among our goals. We believe that Turkiye should take part and contribute to this reconstruction process of Europe…” The CHP leader, who made many speeches, was bringing the job to the point of “In the third month of our government, every citizen will go to the EU without a visa…”.
There was more! Kilicdaroglu who said “It is a pride for me to be likened to German Prime Minister Olaf Scholz,” also said, “We will fully implement all the democratic standards of the European Union without waiting for the EU to open a new chapter. We will make relations with the West a priority, not the Kremlin. We want to be a part of the civilized world…” he was setting his course with these words. He was announcing it. There was no problem with that either.
I often asked, “Mr. Kilicdaroglu, there is a big difference between where you go, where you want to go and where the Turkish STATE wants to go! How will you win here as you lose in the ecole, GLOBAL ARENA, where you lye your back on?”. Mine was just a catch.
I was seeing and underlining the CONTRADICTION. I was stating that Mr. Kilicdaroglu’s march could not be long-term. The results that were announced on May 14 showed that I was right. This was the first ROUND! On the same evening, while the results were announced, there was a CHANGE, a TRANSFORMATION that was not seen in our political history.
Mr. Kilicdaroglu GOES VOLUNTARILY AWAY FROM THE ROUTE HE WANTED TO GO, HE STARTED WALKING ON THE WAY THAT ANKARA WANTED TO GO.
In other words, he was knocking down the table, which he carefully established. Apart from Mrs. Aksener, the names there didn’t matter much anymore. They were not important. They were the players of an ecole, where they went on a trip together. There was no room for them in the new game. Mr. Kilicdaroglu was seeing this by being defeated on May 14th. And he wasn’t resisting, he was changing his side…IN OTHER words, HE NO LONGER LOOKED DIFFERENTLY AT THE EVENTS THAT WOULD AFFECT THE BACKBONE OF THE STATE. He was leaving his friends at the table.
His agreement with Umit Hoca and his signature were more than saying “I CHANGED”! As I wrote yesterday, the DEEP STATE was somehow showing Kilicdaroglu what was right. Seeing that he was on the wrong path, Kilicdaroglu understood this and was doing what was necessary. Kilicdaroglu’s 180-degree change was not a harm for a CHP member. Maybe they didn’t want to see this turn.
I don’t know. But that’s what happened. Already, the CHP leader was saying a lot to justify me. Kilicdaroglu addressed Europe through Syrians in the program he attended. Upon a question about refugees, “We will build the substructure, ensure the safety of life and property, and then send them away. We will also receive the money from the EU. If Europeans do not protect the rights of Syrians, if they do not pay to build their homes, roads, hospitals, we will terminate the Readmission Agreement, they can go to Europe then, what are they even doing here?” he said. This was no different from saying “WE WILL MAKE THE EU SINK IF NECESSARY”. IMMIGRATION flood was the nightmare of the civilization established by the EU. Mr. Kilicdaroglu knew this. He was pulling this card! There was more.
“Our people deserve first-class democracy, not third-class democracy. Whatever democratic rules there are in Canada, Japan, Germany and the Netherlands, let’s bring those democratic rules to our own country. Turkiye can do all of this, it has that capacity. What happens if it doesn’t give a visa? We do not rely on them. We should turn around and say, ‘You are people who do not keep your promise, your ethical values are not right, you are trying to give people a lesson, but you are not actually fulfilling your duty’.
We have provided all the standards of the EU, will they take us or not? They can take it or leave it. I don’t care at all. Turkiye has to be the dominant country of this region. We have a dream. We will make Turkiye the most powerful country of the entire Mediterranean basin…” We were coming to the CHP leader who said “I want a Turkiye that challenges the world” from Kilicdaroglu, who did whatever he wanted until May 14!
Looking between the lines, we came across a Kilicdaroglu profile confirming what President Erdogan did! Whether many people don’t understand or don’t want to see it, that’s exactly the case! The CHP leader seemed to have seen and solved the power, horizon and balance of the COUNTRY overnight. This POWER could attract you, even if you were the CHP leader. The opposite was not possible.
Mr. Kilicdaroglu’s journey was continuing. In different wagons, from different perspectives, with different partners, to a different future… In other words, Kilicdaroglu WAS ALSO PARTICIPATING IN THE CHOICE OF WALKING ON SEPARATE ROADS WITH EUROPE AS THE TURKISH STATE, WHICH STARTED WITH Gezi events and CONTINUED WITH 17-25 OPERATIONS. May 14th brought too many new things. One needs to see those things.
This is the case…
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26.05.2023
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