US and China

Northern Iraq, PKK, YPG, China, the Middle East, the US, EU, UK, Russia, the financial system, Iran, Israel, Hamas, Palestine, Uyghurs, economic balances, and distributed roles… The exclusion of a power, a focus, depends not on the magnitude of its problems but on its inability to produce solutions. Even though we may not know it as ordinary people, the ROLES OF COUNTRIES are generally determined by GREAT POWERS. That’s why they are GREAT…

There are few countries at this scale! The US leads the way. Since WORLD WAR II… It came with its military, brought peace to Europe. It established its own system. It took the imperial seal from ENGLAND. Europe rose from the ashes. It chose unity over war. It stood up to the US. This was the biggest fight of all. It was still going on. Blond, blue-eyed people were not friends, allies, brothers but enemies! Turkiye assumed that the struggle was between SIDES because it did not see the struggle within the WESTERN SIDE. It was boiling. We were missing it.

After the end of the war, the US invited China to the table. History books don’t tell you this. This was the first step towards China after the miracle economic treatment applied to Japan. It was the mind. It was the vision. And they did it. The US was giving an economic miracle to JAPAN, which it bombed with atomic bombs! The Americans, looking from the other side of the ocean, joyfully said, “Great… Now let’s take this model to people who will work for a sack of rice” and they did. This was CHINA!

China was a GIANT that grew by ATTRACTING INVESTMENT. As long as investment came, there was no problem! What if it didn’t come? The problem was huge… But it wasn’t understood. It was looked at with love for jerseys. Hatred for the US prevented the truth from being seen. The wealth of the US did not come from what they produced themselves. Especially China was producing more. The US was allowing what was produced to flow into its own territories. China, the producer, was also becoming a CREDITOR on paper.

China, Japan, the EU, and other countries wanted to escape from this dependency and see the US stumble. They were right. But they had no SOLUTIONS! The US was the one who saw the problems and was scratching its head for solutions. The US’s problems were very big. They had the potential to deal with them. They had efforts. For now, there is no debate about what the new economic order should be like on earth. Everyone is continuing their journey in a resigned state, hoping that the problems will be solved one day!

US President Nixon and Kissinger opened the door to China in the early 1970s. The money, technology, and model all came from Washington. Signs similar to the miracle in Japan began to appear 7-8 years later. China’s average annual growth rate was over 8% between 1980 and 2019. This showed that they were growing faster than the economies of all Western countries. The pace picked up in the 2000s.

As technologies were renewed and investments flowed, China got stronger. The promise of GROWTH fell short. China began to make its own technology investments, produce patents, and academic publications. Books were being written, series and movies were being made, open sessions were being held, chairs were being established at universities, and a “GIANT” was being told about China. And everyone, including our media, was saying, “CHINA HAS COME AND OVERTURNED THE US, IT IS ABOUT TO OVERTAKE IT” There is no need to give names. But it could be read like this. ABD was the one who grew China, the giant it raised, would lose to it, history would write it as “BIG FOOLISHNESS”. If it happens, of course…

Recently, the boss of CHINA held a COMMUNIST PARTY meeting. Under the name of CHINA NATIONAL PEOPLE’S CONGRESS… The aim was to stop the course and turn it around. I looked, I didn’t see a new model. I didn’t hear a new opening. No proposal was made on how to deal with the deepening real estate crisis, hundreds of millions of dollars of local government debt, falling prices, increasing youth unemployment, loss of business and consumer confidence, and deteriorating economic indicators. While the US found solutions to its problems, China struggled and remained helpless! THAT WAS THE DIFFERENCE. Very few understood! Let’s continue; let’s come to Turkiye’s new role and the region…

I wrote “RED ALERT FOR THE US”. When the dates were showing 2020, China surpassed the US and became the largest trading partner of the European Union. The total value of imports and exports between China and the EU reached $709 billion. Trade between the EU and the US, on the other hand, remained at $671 billion. If the US was a superpower, it would object to this. That’s what I wrote then. And they did. Without asking anyone’s permission or consulting anyone, the NORTH STREAM PIPELINES were blown up. Neither the whole UNION nor RUSSIA, who were a UNION, said a word. WHY? Because Russia was a secret and important ally of the US…

Here the final picture was opening the way for Russia’s entry into UKRAINE. When Russia cut off energy, first Europe and then its top commercial partner were having a hard time. Simultaneously, when real estate crises like EVERGRANDE were added, CHINA and EUROPE were in trouble at the same time. The US was sending its NAVY to the MEDITERRANEAN and saying, “No one can enter these areas while I’m here.” China could not take on a role beyond offering good wishes. While the US was dealing with its internal problems, it was also dealing with other problems. THE MIDDLE EAST and the KURDISH ISSUE were at the forefront here.

Right at this point, there was a great need for Turkiye. They also needed Ankara’s attitude. Turkiye was capable of influencing the fate of the match in the region. The pushback of the EU and China by the US-Russia alliance changed Turkiye’s position as well. This was what should have happened. Close with England, warm relations with China were somewhat taken back. At least for now, it was necessary to be on the winning side. Changing balances, changing conditions, would bring changing attitudes. Turkiye would now show that it had changed in the REGION. Although the KURDS owned the oil, this was not enough to protect themselves. They were doomed on a surrounded piece of land.

The control of these regions would be given to Turkiye so that “EU-CHINA could not reach it”, and it had to be given. Otherwise, it was not possible. While these were happening globally, it was impossible for domestic politics to remain the same! There would be purges. The new global system would open the door to a great Turkiye. Turkiye would play a very big game, but its economy, which was going to be even bigger, would be kept in a SENSITIVE situation. Ankara should progress by solving this! If we look at the events strategically rather than emotionally, we will see the path to be taken more clearly.

We must ask these questions: “What’s happening at the top of the world? Who needs whom?” and become one of the options and grow. We must move forward. Problems are temporary. We have a great opportunity and it must be seen.

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15.03.2024

Seesaw

The attack by HAMAS on October 7th, Selahattin Demirtas’s defense and his repositioning, the emergence of his wife Basak Demirtas’s name for the ISTANBUL CANDIDACY, KANDIL’s repulsion of this, Blinken’s visits, significant steps extending from Ankara to Erbil and Baghdad, and trips to the USA, meetings…

There were plenty of signals that the region would change. It was already clear since the arrival of the USA to the region in the 1990s. Turkiye lost a lot of time. It neither understood what was happening nor worked on the Kurdish issue. Deep USA would put an end to the anti-USA sentiment in the region and would want to steer the PKK, which set off on its path as a LEFTIST ORGANIZATION, into its own lane. “LEFT” was defined as anti-USA sentiment. All the reasons put forward for the war were fairy tales. The United States of America entered IRAQ to gain ground and take the lead in the war within the West. And from the beginning, their intention was to separate and protect the KURDS. They would overcome the deep-rooted OPPOSITION in the region in this way. That was the plan. Roughly…

There was only one thing needed for this fiction to happen! And that was Turkiye’s partnership, support, involvement. For years, Ankara advocated that the borders should NOT CHANGE. However, if there were no wars and the borders did not change, what would history write… We didn’t understand. The confessions that came years later already revealed this…

For example, after retiring, Land Forces Commander Aytac Yalman said: “If the problem could have been solved at the social level before it turned into terrorism, it would have been much better. From this perspective, we see that the problem was described as ‘self-expression’ at that stage. They want to speak their language, listen to their song, ballad, and live their culture. Whereas, we were trained at that time as ‘there is no Kurd’. We see Kurds as an arm of Turks. There were descriptions like ‘Kurds were called Kurds because they made kart-kurt sounds while wandering around in the mountains, walking in the snow,’ circulating.

At that time, even their social demands were seen by us within the scope of ‘destructive activities’…” The bitter aspect was that the Americans knew the region and the people, but we were missing the point. With the involvement of EUROPEAN intelligence, the issue grew, evolved into TERRORISM, and a disaster called “PKK” emerged… Although the matter directly concerned us, those in politics in Ankara, those filling the seats did not see that this war was within the WESTERN BLOCK. Even after years had passed, they did not understand. The USA was coming to the region not for IRAQ but for EUROPE. Turkiye could not see this and take action. Those who engaged in politics on behalf of the Kurds did not understand, did not want to understand, and attributed the issue to the RECOGNITION OF IDENTITY and CULTURE.

Iraq was intervened in twice, the region changed, but the length of the sentences formed did not exceed two words. IDENTITY or CULTURE, which one would solve the problems of the KURDISH PEOPLE in the region?

It is like a joke! The rhythm of the GLOBAL struggle was ECONOMIC. There was a great struggle based on reaching, owning, and distributing energy. The USA was here for that. To see Russia go to UKRAINE and to witness the difficulty of Europe, the power that wanted to give up the global claim, namely the USA, would they hand over the oil and gas of this region to the EU? This was the CODE OF WAR. We saw this GLOBAL economic war as the OCCUPATION of Iraq, as PKK, as YPG, as INTELLIGENCE WARS, as ASSASSINATIONS, as bombings.

While Europe wanted to divide the country through PKK, the USA was striving for the recognition of the KURD as “KURD”. This struggle affected both the internal politics of the two major powers and the Kurdish politics and the PKK and Kandil. HDP or now DEM was not a single entity. It was dominated by EUROPE. However, there was not a lack of rivalry both within themselves and with ENGLAND. Kandil was like a coalition. The YPG side was clear. It was under the control of the USA… Circumstances have been pushing Turkiye to make decisions for a long time. Our prescription and treatment method had been wrong for years.

President Erdogan was in Sirnak yesterday. “The region will find joy”, he said. He was right. ECONOMIC support had already begun to be given the region. When the region got richer, when the share taken from the national income increased, freedoms would follow. Major problems would gradually melt away. Let’s continue…

Putin, speaking to his own media, made important statements… Russian President, “There is a very strong desire among Western elites to maintain the status quo, the unjust situation in international relations. For centuries, they have been accustomed to filling their stomachs with human flesh and their pockets with money. However, they must realize that the vampires’ ball is coming to an end,” he said. He started talking about the Ukraine war. He repeated what he said a few times… “I will try to explain.

We have put forward a draft agreement with the Ukrainian side in the negotiations in Istanbul. And the summary of this agreement was signed by Mr. Arahamiya (Ukrainian politician David Arahamiya). It bears his signature. It exists in the Kremlin archives. However, it is known that later, in a meeting with journalists, former British Prime Minister Boris Johnson came and it is known that he convinced them not to sign this agreement…” It was perfectly natural for Boris Johnson to want both the weakening of the EU and Russia with a prolonged war! Russian leader Putin then came to the critical part, the NUCLEAR weapons section… He shared the sentences that need to be read with emphasis…

“Militarily and technically, we are of course ready for NUCLEAR WAR. Our nuclear forces are always ready for war… US President Joe Biden represents the traditional political school… His refusal to send troops to Ukraine confirms this. There are experts in the field of Russian-American relations and strategic deterrence, apart from Biden. Therefore, I do not think that countries are heading for war…” So Putin, by saying “There are centers that control developments other than ours. The USA does this job very well. There is no war or anything between us. There won’t be…” was transferring the balance of roles!

“Our nuclear trio is more modern than what all other countries have. In fact, the nuclear trio exists only in us and the Americans…” he was explaining the GOOD COP, BAD COP, or seesaw! The USA was the center of nuclear power. This center, as required by the fiction, was also elevating Russia to the nuclear league. The Kremlin was threatening EUROPE 24/7 with this power. That’s how the game was set… The participation power and determination of Russia were as important as the mind of the USA in this game…

These two powers, ultimately, were continuing their secret alliance in Syria too. These were happening right under our noses, just beyond our borders. As I have been trying to convey for a long time, their goal was to weaken the power of EUROPE and ENGLAND in this region. It was to prevent them from setting the stage. It was to cut off their ties with energy…

On the other hand, the KURDISH CARD, which had been waiting for 20 years, was still alive and fresh. It needed to be controlled and managed. As I wrote yesterday, it was not a “SECRET” that ARABS looked at KURDS as “collaborators.” Only Turkiye could provide the balance. Economically-politically-militarily-strategically, Turkiye was the only friend of the Kurds! For sure. This would open the door to the region’s transformation. Both politically and economically, benefits would start to emerge. After this, the MIDDLE EAST would move to a different arena. That was the situation. The Century of Turkiye would be built on brotherhood-power-wealth-peace. The control of the region would pass through the buttons under ANKARA’s control… That’s what I see…

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14.03.2024

Intense Traffic

Those who follow will know, for a few months now, I have been writing about the KURDISH CARD and NORTHERN IRAQ through local elections. I’ve been trying to explain that the dynamics of the region will change, and the balance of power will be rebuilt since the HAMAS attack on October 7th… A wide audience finds it difficult to understand what’s going on because they don’t see or know that the struggle is within the WESTERN BLOCK. Did the USA support the PKK? Absolutely.

Its goal was for Turkiye to call the KURDS “KURDS.” While old ANKARA didn’t call its own citizens KURDS, how could it call the KURDS on whose game in the region was built “KURDS”! So, the underlying support was for regional calculations. Europe, on the other hand, was implementing its plans through BAATH and Saddam, wanting to both end US influence in the region and prevent Ankara’s expansion. It was EUROPE that gave the ROLE which would divide communities to the PKK. That’s why the CIA delivered OCALAN to ANKARA, as it was already happening. Turkiye was caught between these two pressures for many years. It couldn’t chart its own course or come to terms with either of these powers…

To let the balance settle, the US would come in twice and invade IRAQ, hitting it! It was evident that Washington was conducting these operations to separate and sideline the KURDS after things calmed down. European INTELLIGENCE SERVICES and their extensions, influential over the Kurdish movement, were coming to carve out their share of the region. Their main motivation was to prevent the EU from accessing the energy resources here. THAT WAS THE CASE. Understanding what the Americans wanted wasn’t difficult. We weren’t their rivals. We could have been major partners. They were in conflict with the EU and China on a GLOBAL SCALE. With the invisible power behind China being the UK as well… We influenced the outcome of the match in the region! For sure!

Knowing this, I never saw the October 7th HAMAS attack as just an Israel-Palestine issue. This time it had a broader aspect. Current developments were proving me right… I won’t get into the visits of Minister of National Defense Yasar Guler, Minister of Foreign Affairs Hakan Fidan, and MIT Director Ibrahim Kalin to BAGHDAD and ERBIL. I won’t touch on the coming and going to the USA. These are normal. It happens, it will happen… The real issue was seeing what was happening behind the scenes!

After the ARAB SPRING, the USA came to NORTH AFRICA. There were instances where they sent proxies. They claimed they were ESSENTIAL for the SECURITY OF THE MEDITERRANEAN TRANSIT. Then HAMAS pulled the trigger. They came to the EASTERN MEDITERRANEAN. They flexed their muscles. Then came the unlikely attacks by the HOUTHI. The RED SEA fell into their hands. They were eliminating the possibility for Europe to easily reach both ASIA and the MIDDLE EAST. There was also the aspect that concerned us. The EUROPEAN REALITY stretching into IRAQ, SYRIA, and neighboring countries through the KURDISH CARD…

The US had to put an end to this. I saw this obligation from my room. At the end of the day, it all came down to the KURDISH CARD, and it would continue to do so. In the 1990s, the USA initiated a plan they wanted to end with Turkiye’s support. The developments were in that direction. The traffic between ANKARA-BAGHDAD-ERBIL-WASHINGTON was for this reason. Turkiye was going to assume a new role. Opening a new page with the United Arab Emirates, improving relations with the Saudis, establishing a new route with Egypt, visibly retracting support for HAMAS, all of this was for that purpose. Whether Trump would come remains uncertain, but no one knew what would happen in the region once he withdrew Pentagon troops. The EU would come with one card, Britain with another, Russia with another. The right thing was to end the game before this scene unfolded in the region.

The bottom line was messy! ARABS naturally had a grudge against the KURDS. There was a blood feud. The memory of Saddam sentencing five KURDISH JUDGES to death was still fresh. Moreover, the philosophy of “While we sacrificed 1 million of our people for Iraq, the Kurds lived in prosperity, without suffering…” was still alive. When you look at the map, you see that the KURDS have no breathing room. They are surrounded by strong adversaries between IRAN-IRAQ-SYRIA. They have no chance economically, strategically, politically. They never had one from the start. The USA knew this well and planned accordingly! First, they ensured the KURDS were called “KURDS.” They knew more clearly than anyone else that only Turkiye could control the region.

They wanted Turkiye to understand this. The old official patterns needed to be broken and updated. And so it was. When Turkiye produced policies suitable for the future of the region, it would strengthen economically, grow, and increase its political influence. The traffic of Guler-Fidan-Kalin was yielding results; Turkiye was stepping onto the field. As a result, Fitch Ratings upgraded Turkiye’s credit rating from ‘B2’ to ‘B+’ and revised its outlook from ‘stable’ to ‘positive’. Moody’s and Standard & Poor’s were on the way too…

Russia’s entry into UKRAINE, HAMAS’ attack, and the massacres had already crossed the path to the desired balance. All that was left was for Turkiye to strike its fist. When the Turkish Armed Forces took control of the region, GLOBAL balance would be established, and Europe would lose. When Europe weakened, China had no chance of winning. Nor did Britain have a chance to play another game… The Turkish military would descend into NORTHERN IRAQ or other regions. The KURDISH OIL would come under Turkiye’s control, not Europe’s. Water was already ours. As were the weapons and soldiers…

The spirit of alliance with the USA and Russia would be more evident by our side! If Turkiye weren’t in IRAQ, Europe would be; only they would win, ANKARA would lose. So, Turkiye’s control of the region was not a threat to the USA. Their fear was the EU! It was their historical ties, relationships, and minds! If Turkiye looked from afar, the KURDS would be eliminated, but if it descended into the field, it would become the GUARANTOR… It was certain to be in the field… There was a bag of details to understand this! As I wrote yesterday, the most important thing was to remove Basak Demirtas from candidacy by KANDIL. While the US was praising Mazlum Abdi, KANDIL was walking with Europe. The Demirtas issue was also being settled through Mustafa Karasu. So, what Europe said was happening.

The center of the PKK, which was in competition with Mazlum Abdi, would be eliminated from KANDIL. I think we would see Turkiye doing this soon. The Turkish military would never again leave there. Then it would be the turn of other branches of the PKK. A climate would emerge where only Turkiye’s last word mattered, as the USA withdrew and the EU couldn’t enter. In fact, this plan wasn’t new. Europe would absolutely and unequivocally oppose Turkiye’s operations against the PKK in IRAQ. The possibility of assigning new tasks to the PKK was also not weak at all. It was possible to read the GLOBAL STRUGGLE in IRAQ through the ISTANBUL ELECTIONS!

If President Erdogan won, we would witness a state that leaned heavily on the region, and if he didn’t, we would see a mechanism that hit the brakes. The withdrawal of Basak Demirtas was a demand from the EU through KANDIL. The struggle continued. After Ukraine, they wouldn’t want to lose the area below our borders. Would their power be enough? I don’t know!

It wasn’t difficult to see the role that the CHP played and the space it occupied… When you scratch the election posters, you find INTERNATIONAL ALLIANCES underneath. Take a look from that angle too…

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13.03.2024