The Rest is Detail

Middle East, Africa, and Ukraine are currently the main centers of the global war. Turkiye’s surroundings are also the same… Actually, the struggle that began with the collapse of the Soviet Union gained momentum in the 2000s and is now moving towards obtaining results. The leader Macron is the one who speaks most clearly and openly about the situation. Since his arrival, he has stood against the USA. When he said “NATO’s brain death has occurred,” he meant a lot. Since the first day of Russia’s occupation of UKRAINE, I have been writing “This is an operation to destroy and collapse Europe. A secret alliance between the USA and Russia… They agreed. They are attacking the EU…” French leader Macron also began to walk from the points I was trying to write about shortly after the war started. Russia did not limit its intervention to Ukraine. In an interview he gave to a TV channel the other day, he said, “The war is now on European soil…

There is a distance of less than 1500 kilometers between Strasbourg and Lviv.” French President Emmanuel Macron said that if Russia, which he described as a rival, wins the war, Europe’s credibility will drop to zero. He also added that they would never be safe if the Moscow administration won the war. Upon the question, Macron replied, “We have only one goal; Russia cannot and should not win the war.. They are now our enemies..” In the past few days, the much-discussed issue of sending troops to Ukraine was reopened. In response to the question asked, he evaluated, “All these options are possible, and the only responsible for this will be the Moscow regime”…

So Macron was clearly stating that Russia’s operation was against Europe. The other members were not so brave because they were afraid… And no one was asking the question, “Why did Russia start this war when its relations with Europe were so good and almost a strategic partnership was established?” Anyway…

In last year’s elections, there was a change of power in POLAND. The Law and Justice Party, which had been in power continuously for eight years and had gradually moved the country’s course towards a conservative-nationalist line, thus distancing itself from Europe, lost its dominance. A name who has taken an oath to integrate Poland with the EU became Prime Minister. Donald Tusk… Tusk served as Prime Minister from 2007 to 2014.

Then we saw him as the President of the European Council. He took office in this position in 2014. And he held it until 2019. It was not difficult to see that Tusk was clearly anti-American both during his prime ministership and his presidency of the Council. For example, while Tusk was the President of the Council, he said, “United States President Donald Trump is probably the toughest test for the EU”.

He pointed out that Trump welcomed Britain’s decision to leave, treated the EU as an ‘enemy’ in trade, and questioned the value of NATO, the transatlantic defense alliance. Speaking to the German weekly Die Zeit, Tusk said, “For the first time in history, we see an American president who openly takes such hostile positions against Europe. He supports Brexit and prays for the breakup of our union…”.

He was bold enough to say the main idea of Europe with the statement: “The real geopolitical problem arises when you cannot predict the movements of your closest friend, not your rival. That’s how we have a problem with our partner across the ocean (USA). Because the USA doesn’t have many friends anymore…”.

The politician from Poland was once again summarising the issue like Macron. “If Europe does not really begin to take care of its security more, if we leave the security of Europe only to the goodwill and defense desire of the USA, then it will end in disaster sooner or later…” Coming in as Prime Minister for the second time, Tusk expressed his outrage at the proposed aid to Ukraine being slashed by Republicans in the United States, saying “SHAME ON YOU” with his words. Donald Tusk, who has completed just one year in office, recalled ambassadors from 50 countries. While all names in favor of the USA withdrew, completely EU-friendly diplomats were appointed in their place. Naturally, this was not liked by both the USA and Russia. Putin brought up POLAND at every opportunity. And he would say again and again, “Poland wants to invade Ukraine.”

In an interview with Russia 1 TV, the Russian leader said, “If Polish soldiers enter Ukrainian territory to protect the Ukraine-Belarus border or to send Ukrainian troops behind the lines to the front, I don’t think they will leave again”. Right after Macron’s statement, he said he can send troops to Ukraine, Polish Foreign Minister Radoslaw Sikorski, in his statement, used the expression, “We can consider sending NATO troops to Ukraine.”

So Russia was fighting in UKRAINE to devour and collapse the European Union. England was walking, thinking that both sides would lose if the war dragged on. As I have written thousands of times, the USA was acting with the motto “If Europe collapses, the biggest trading partner China will go, I will set the game…

I will continue my empire.” The weakest muscle of the EU was being far from energy. The USA-RUSSIA game was being played according to this. Therefore, when it came to energy, our borders were immediately disturbed. EUROPE wanted to come down here with Turkiye or without Turkiye, and it was looking for a solution to its problem, and the opposite block did not want to allow this. Roughly speaking, this arm wrestling formed the summary of everything happening in the world. The Kurdish issue, Kandil, HDP and its alliances, CHP, Demirtas, YPG, ISIS, Imamoglu, the summit with Baghdad, all of them had to be evaluated under the same roof.

Because we were convinced that the USA and the EU would not fight, we either did not understand what was happening or, if we understood, it was too late. Think about the PKK we suffered from for years! Iran fights, Esad pushes, Turkiye enters Northern Iraq hundreds of times, the USA provides instant intelligence support, Israel sends technology, but the PKK never ended! There was something more than a terrorist organization in front of us! The sides of the GLOBAL war were clear. Turkiye would make its choice and move forward. That’s the issue… The rest is detail…

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16.03.2024

US and China

Northern Iraq, PKK, YPG, China, the Middle East, the US, EU, UK, Russia, the financial system, Iran, Israel, Hamas, Palestine, Uyghurs, economic balances, and distributed roles… The exclusion of a power, a focus, depends not on the magnitude of its problems but on its inability to produce solutions. Even though we may not know it as ordinary people, the ROLES OF COUNTRIES are generally determined by GREAT POWERS. That’s why they are GREAT…

There are few countries at this scale! The US leads the way. Since WORLD WAR II… It came with its military, brought peace to Europe. It established its own system. It took the imperial seal from ENGLAND. Europe rose from the ashes. It chose unity over war. It stood up to the US. This was the biggest fight of all. It was still going on. Blond, blue-eyed people were not friends, allies, brothers but enemies! Turkiye assumed that the struggle was between SIDES because it did not see the struggle within the WESTERN SIDE. It was boiling. We were missing it.

After the end of the war, the US invited China to the table. History books don’t tell you this. This was the first step towards China after the miracle economic treatment applied to Japan. It was the mind. It was the vision. And they did it. The US was giving an economic miracle to JAPAN, which it bombed with atomic bombs! The Americans, looking from the other side of the ocean, joyfully said, “Great… Now let’s take this model to people who will work for a sack of rice” and they did. This was CHINA!

China was a GIANT that grew by ATTRACTING INVESTMENT. As long as investment came, there was no problem! What if it didn’t come? The problem was huge… But it wasn’t understood. It was looked at with love for jerseys. Hatred for the US prevented the truth from being seen. The wealth of the US did not come from what they produced themselves. Especially China was producing more. The US was allowing what was produced to flow into its own territories. China, the producer, was also becoming a CREDITOR on paper.

China, Japan, the EU, and other countries wanted to escape from this dependency and see the US stumble. They were right. But they had no SOLUTIONS! The US was the one who saw the problems and was scratching its head for solutions. The US’s problems were very big. They had the potential to deal with them. They had efforts. For now, there is no debate about what the new economic order should be like on earth. Everyone is continuing their journey in a resigned state, hoping that the problems will be solved one day!

US President Nixon and Kissinger opened the door to China in the early 1970s. The money, technology, and model all came from Washington. Signs similar to the miracle in Japan began to appear 7-8 years later. China’s average annual growth rate was over 8% between 1980 and 2019. This showed that they were growing faster than the economies of all Western countries. The pace picked up in the 2000s.

As technologies were renewed and investments flowed, China got stronger. The promise of GROWTH fell short. China began to make its own technology investments, produce patents, and academic publications. Books were being written, series and movies were being made, open sessions were being held, chairs were being established at universities, and a “GIANT” was being told about China. And everyone, including our media, was saying, “CHINA HAS COME AND OVERTURNED THE US, IT IS ABOUT TO OVERTAKE IT” There is no need to give names. But it could be read like this. ABD was the one who grew China, the giant it raised, would lose to it, history would write it as “BIG FOOLISHNESS”. If it happens, of course…

Recently, the boss of CHINA held a COMMUNIST PARTY meeting. Under the name of CHINA NATIONAL PEOPLE’S CONGRESS… The aim was to stop the course and turn it around. I looked, I didn’t see a new model. I didn’t hear a new opening. No proposal was made on how to deal with the deepening real estate crisis, hundreds of millions of dollars of local government debt, falling prices, increasing youth unemployment, loss of business and consumer confidence, and deteriorating economic indicators. While the US found solutions to its problems, China struggled and remained helpless! THAT WAS THE DIFFERENCE. Very few understood! Let’s continue; let’s come to Turkiye’s new role and the region…

I wrote “RED ALERT FOR THE US”. When the dates were showing 2020, China surpassed the US and became the largest trading partner of the European Union. The total value of imports and exports between China and the EU reached $709 billion. Trade between the EU and the US, on the other hand, remained at $671 billion. If the US was a superpower, it would object to this. That’s what I wrote then. And they did. Without asking anyone’s permission or consulting anyone, the NORTH STREAM PIPELINES were blown up. Neither the whole UNION nor RUSSIA, who were a UNION, said a word. WHY? Because Russia was a secret and important ally of the US…

Here the final picture was opening the way for Russia’s entry into UKRAINE. When Russia cut off energy, first Europe and then its top commercial partner were having a hard time. Simultaneously, when real estate crises like EVERGRANDE were added, CHINA and EUROPE were in trouble at the same time. The US was sending its NAVY to the MEDITERRANEAN and saying, “No one can enter these areas while I’m here.” China could not take on a role beyond offering good wishes. While the US was dealing with its internal problems, it was also dealing with other problems. THE MIDDLE EAST and the KURDISH ISSUE were at the forefront here.

Right at this point, there was a great need for Turkiye. They also needed Ankara’s attitude. Turkiye was capable of influencing the fate of the match in the region. The pushback of the EU and China by the US-Russia alliance changed Turkiye’s position as well. This was what should have happened. Close with England, warm relations with China were somewhat taken back. At least for now, it was necessary to be on the winning side. Changing balances, changing conditions, would bring changing attitudes. Turkiye would now show that it had changed in the REGION. Although the KURDS owned the oil, this was not enough to protect themselves. They were doomed on a surrounded piece of land.

The control of these regions would be given to Turkiye so that “EU-CHINA could not reach it”, and it had to be given. Otherwise, it was not possible. While these were happening globally, it was impossible for domestic politics to remain the same! There would be purges. The new global system would open the door to a great Turkiye. Turkiye would play a very big game, but its economy, which was going to be even bigger, would be kept in a SENSITIVE situation. Ankara should progress by solving this! If we look at the events strategically rather than emotionally, we will see the path to be taken more clearly.

We must ask these questions: “What’s happening at the top of the world? Who needs whom?” and become one of the options and grow. We must move forward. Problems are temporary. We have a great opportunity and it must be seen.

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15.03.2024

Intense Traffic

Those who follow will know, for a few months now, I have been writing about the KURDISH CARD and NORTHERN IRAQ through local elections. I’ve been trying to explain that the dynamics of the region will change, and the balance of power will be rebuilt since the HAMAS attack on October 7th… A wide audience finds it difficult to understand what’s going on because they don’t see or know that the struggle is within the WESTERN BLOCK. Did the USA support the PKK? Absolutely.

Its goal was for Turkiye to call the KURDS “KURDS.” While old ANKARA didn’t call its own citizens KURDS, how could it call the KURDS on whose game in the region was built “KURDS”! So, the underlying support was for regional calculations. Europe, on the other hand, was implementing its plans through BAATH and Saddam, wanting to both end US influence in the region and prevent Ankara’s expansion. It was EUROPE that gave the ROLE which would divide communities to the PKK. That’s why the CIA delivered OCALAN to ANKARA, as it was already happening. Turkiye was caught between these two pressures for many years. It couldn’t chart its own course or come to terms with either of these powers…

To let the balance settle, the US would come in twice and invade IRAQ, hitting it! It was evident that Washington was conducting these operations to separate and sideline the KURDS after things calmed down. European INTELLIGENCE SERVICES and their extensions, influential over the Kurdish movement, were coming to carve out their share of the region. Their main motivation was to prevent the EU from accessing the energy resources here. THAT WAS THE CASE. Understanding what the Americans wanted wasn’t difficult. We weren’t their rivals. We could have been major partners. They were in conflict with the EU and China on a GLOBAL SCALE. With the invisible power behind China being the UK as well… We influenced the outcome of the match in the region! For sure!

Knowing this, I never saw the October 7th HAMAS attack as just an Israel-Palestine issue. This time it had a broader aspect. Current developments were proving me right… I won’t get into the visits of Minister of National Defense Yasar Guler, Minister of Foreign Affairs Hakan Fidan, and MIT Director Ibrahim Kalin to BAGHDAD and ERBIL. I won’t touch on the coming and going to the USA. These are normal. It happens, it will happen… The real issue was seeing what was happening behind the scenes!

After the ARAB SPRING, the USA came to NORTH AFRICA. There were instances where they sent proxies. They claimed they were ESSENTIAL for the SECURITY OF THE MEDITERRANEAN TRANSIT. Then HAMAS pulled the trigger. They came to the EASTERN MEDITERRANEAN. They flexed their muscles. Then came the unlikely attacks by the HOUTHI. The RED SEA fell into their hands. They were eliminating the possibility for Europe to easily reach both ASIA and the MIDDLE EAST. There was also the aspect that concerned us. The EUROPEAN REALITY stretching into IRAQ, SYRIA, and neighboring countries through the KURDISH CARD…

The US had to put an end to this. I saw this obligation from my room. At the end of the day, it all came down to the KURDISH CARD, and it would continue to do so. In the 1990s, the USA initiated a plan they wanted to end with Turkiye’s support. The developments were in that direction. The traffic between ANKARA-BAGHDAD-ERBIL-WASHINGTON was for this reason. Turkiye was going to assume a new role. Opening a new page with the United Arab Emirates, improving relations with the Saudis, establishing a new route with Egypt, visibly retracting support for HAMAS, all of this was for that purpose. Whether Trump would come remains uncertain, but no one knew what would happen in the region once he withdrew Pentagon troops. The EU would come with one card, Britain with another, Russia with another. The right thing was to end the game before this scene unfolded in the region.

The bottom line was messy! ARABS naturally had a grudge against the KURDS. There was a blood feud. The memory of Saddam sentencing five KURDISH JUDGES to death was still fresh. Moreover, the philosophy of “While we sacrificed 1 million of our people for Iraq, the Kurds lived in prosperity, without suffering…” was still alive. When you look at the map, you see that the KURDS have no breathing room. They are surrounded by strong adversaries between IRAN-IRAQ-SYRIA. They have no chance economically, strategically, politically. They never had one from the start. The USA knew this well and planned accordingly! First, they ensured the KURDS were called “KURDS.” They knew more clearly than anyone else that only Turkiye could control the region.

They wanted Turkiye to understand this. The old official patterns needed to be broken and updated. And so it was. When Turkiye produced policies suitable for the future of the region, it would strengthen economically, grow, and increase its political influence. The traffic of Guler-Fidan-Kalin was yielding results; Turkiye was stepping onto the field. As a result, Fitch Ratings upgraded Turkiye’s credit rating from ‘B2’ to ‘B+’ and revised its outlook from ‘stable’ to ‘positive’. Moody’s and Standard & Poor’s were on the way too…

Russia’s entry into UKRAINE, HAMAS’ attack, and the massacres had already crossed the path to the desired balance. All that was left was for Turkiye to strike its fist. When the Turkish Armed Forces took control of the region, GLOBAL balance would be established, and Europe would lose. When Europe weakened, China had no chance of winning. Nor did Britain have a chance to play another game… The Turkish military would descend into NORTHERN IRAQ or other regions. The KURDISH OIL would come under Turkiye’s control, not Europe’s. Water was already ours. As were the weapons and soldiers…

The spirit of alliance with the USA and Russia would be more evident by our side! If Turkiye weren’t in IRAQ, Europe would be; only they would win, ANKARA would lose. So, Turkiye’s control of the region was not a threat to the USA. Their fear was the EU! It was their historical ties, relationships, and minds! If Turkiye looked from afar, the KURDS would be eliminated, but if it descended into the field, it would become the GUARANTOR… It was certain to be in the field… There was a bag of details to understand this! As I wrote yesterday, the most important thing was to remove Basak Demirtas from candidacy by KANDIL. While the US was praising Mazlum Abdi, KANDIL was walking with Europe. The Demirtas issue was also being settled through Mustafa Karasu. So, what Europe said was happening.

The center of the PKK, which was in competition with Mazlum Abdi, would be eliminated from KANDIL. I think we would see Turkiye doing this soon. The Turkish military would never again leave there. Then it would be the turn of other branches of the PKK. A climate would emerge where only Turkiye’s last word mattered, as the USA withdrew and the EU couldn’t enter. In fact, this plan wasn’t new. Europe would absolutely and unequivocally oppose Turkiye’s operations against the PKK in IRAQ. The possibility of assigning new tasks to the PKK was also not weak at all. It was possible to read the GLOBAL STRUGGLE in IRAQ through the ISTANBUL ELECTIONS!

If President Erdogan won, we would witness a state that leaned heavily on the region, and if he didn’t, we would see a mechanism that hit the brakes. The withdrawal of Basak Demirtas was a demand from the EU through KANDIL. The struggle continued. After Ukraine, they wouldn’t want to lose the area below our borders. Would their power be enough? I don’t know!

It wasn’t difficult to see the role that the CHP played and the space it occupied… When you scratch the election posters, you find INTERNATIONAL ALLIANCES underneath. Take a look from that angle too…

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13.03.2024