Political Articles
POWER STRUGGLE
Power Struggle
GLOBAL problems, which peaked with the disruption in supply chains that started with the closures that started with the PANDEMIC, entered a completely different path with the Russian occupation of Ukraine. We may think that all this is spontaneous. That is normal. And by establishing a cause-effect relationship between what’s going on, “WHO WANTS TO DO WHAT?” We can look for an answer. From this point of view, it will be inevitable to analyze “Where will Turkiye be and how it will be”… However, if we do not take the events happening inside and around us instantly or daily out of range, our job will not be easy. As someone who came to Turkiye for the first time, look at what happened. It is difficult to find an element that goes beyond IDEOLOGICAL discussions. Everyone shoots from the camp they belong to. Slogans are flying in the air.
One of the names that started the transformation in the USA is Professor Joseph Nye from Harvard. Bringing a whole new dimension to INTERNATIONAL relations, Prof. Nye was not thinking like Kissinger, nor like John Joseph Mearsheimer. Nye was saying “More than half of the world’s population is in ASIA, EAST. Production is there too. Normally, there is a POWER SLIP. However, this does not mean that the USA is losing power.” Then “WHAT IS POWER?” he was asking… “Power is the ability to influence others to get the results you want,” Nye said. He stated that there were three methods for this: You can do this with the THREAT OF SANCTIONS, that is, with a STICK… As the second way, it is possible to do this with MONEY PAYMENTS, that is, with CARROT…
The third way is more difficult but very enjoyable. You can make other powers want what you want… There is no THREAT, no PAYMENT, the results are just as you want them. THIS IS THE GREAT SUCCESS…
Prof. Nye called it “SOFT POWER”… When you act with Soft POWER, you would save both the STICK and CARROT! There was a benefit…
Oxford historian A.J.P. Taylor defined great power as the country that can be victorious in war. But if we want to understand power in the 21st century, we need a new explanation. Strength isn’t just about winning a war. Even though the wars were still going on, another explanation was needed. It is not whose army wins; it also mattered who’s statement won. China was, of course, a growing power. However, which one attracts more attention, the statements of the COMMUNIST PARTY of China, the decisions taken by the central bank or the statements of the FED? It was hard to tell if the White House statements were falling back from BEIJING. Did young people choose to study at universities in the USA or China, where nearly half of the world’s research is conducted?
Let’s continue…
How long have I been writing that SOFT POWER and the USA took a position in the RUSSIA-UKRAINE WAR? The US achieves big results with small aid. It is not a side of the WAR. However, with RUSSIA’s presence in the field, they are harming their biggest rivals, the EUROPEAN UNION and CHINA… While China has risen to the largest economic partnership with the EU, it is being attacked. EU CAPITALS are shaken by the fear of Russia, USA IS SHINING AS THE TRUSTWORTHY PARTNER…
THE THESIS OF “AUTHORITARIAN STATES ARE UNRELIABLE” IS KEPT ALIVE through Putin. FREEDOM SUMMIT IS MADE on the Internet and 128 countries are connecting to them… Admittedly, they exploded the NORTH STREAM PIPES which they did not want. And they got the results of the war without going to war. They made another contribution to the DESCRIPTION of POWER… I think…
Let’s get into domestic politics slowly…
Harvard Professor Nye was talking about the fact that NON-STATE ACTORS also determine the frequencies, saying that there should be no fear of the power shifting to the East… Although he does not reveal it too much, not give much detail, it was FAMILIES THAT DIRECTED THE MONEY…
The tone, color and intensity of the struggle would be determined accordingly. It was not a coincidence that Trump took millions of people behind him in the USA and attacked an iconic name like SOROS. It was nothing but the paving stones of a fiction. Biden, supported by SOROS, was behaving like a REPUBLIC with his actions. The path he followed was not very suitable for DEMOCRATS. Already since SPUTNIK in 1958, the USA was sunk every 10 years. Oddly enough, they did not sink. Even if the problems were very big, they had minds in colleges that found solutions to them. That was the difference. The solutions they found were also GLOBAL.
Anyway… In order to understand where Turkiye will go or to solve the struggle in Turkiye, we have to look to the USA. Trump was saying “END OF THE GLOBALIZATION IS COMING” in his speech from the UN rostrum, which I also watched… Let’s face it, Trump didn’t have the knowledge to explain this. He did not know much. But the US GOVERNMENT was announcing it. From the president’s mouth. That was the important thing.
From this point of view, a new era began. While the US continued on its way as the only military power, there would be open spaces ECONOMICALLY. Dealing with problems like Covid would also have costs for everyone. Washington would be the way with the military and SOFT POWER. Military force would not be used at all. The real struggle would be held in the corridors of money. After a while, we would not be able to see a US blindly defending democracy, freedoms and free markets. What’s happening right now is not believable anyway…
A mix of forces would stand before us, advocating free market rules that prioritize security for production but controlling global financial power. With an attitude that always puts the STATE forward…
They were going to open the door to new formations, not with the FINANCE SYSTEM, but with the alliance they had established between the states. As soon as the US Secretary of State Blinken arrived, he was already giving the signal…
If these guesses are correct, the system in which the STRONG STATE understanding would continue with leaders like ERDOGAN would continue. Those who were in favor of this would gather on the axis of the ALLIANCE OF NATION, and those who were not on the line of the REPUBLICAN ALLIANCE. Maybe he doesn’t have enough time to think about these issues, I don’t know. However, I wrote here yesterday why Muharrem Ince cannot be with Kilicdaroglu.
I explained by going through Deniz Baykal. Will there be deviations in politics? It is possible. However, a new one comes in its place. This is the SYSTEM. As I have written many times, although TRUMP and SOROS appeared to be fighting on a small scale, enormous actors were fighting on a GLOBAL scale. The fight was too big to fit newspaper columns and on TV screens.
When you looked at the event like this, you were seeing ECOLES, not people. This brought a healthier map to the table. On the way to May 14, we needed to know that GLOBAL TECTONIC POLITICAL RESULTS WILL RISE FROM HERE. The election was not only Turkiye’s choice… I wrote it before. The alliance with HDP, 7 party opposition table was losing all over the world.
Most recently they lost in Hungary. We’ll see what happens here.
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30.03.2023
Political Articles
WEAPON
Weapon
Let’s host not only Kilicdaroglu but also Aksener here today. Then, let’s see what Devlet Bahceli wanted to convey with the “InshaAllah Turkiye will not change” statement that he said at the end of his speech…
And let’s move forward without forgetting the May 28 election evaluation of Hungarian leader ORBAN…
It was years ago. The late Mehmet Ali Birand was a young journalist. As the leader of the DAY 32 team, he was interviewing Palestinian leader Yasser Arafat. If I’m not mistaken, it was broadcast on TRT-1. Maybe I didn’t remember the whole conversation. But I never forgot the crucial part. It was towards the end of the interview. In his own style, Birand was leaning forward a little and asking, making him feel that he is curious…
MR. ARAFAT DO YOU HAVE A WEAPON? DO YOU CARRY A WEAPON? Of course, Arafat was also an important name. He was an important character. He replied “YES” with a smile. Birand got even more excited with this answer and immediately sent the second question.. CAN WE SEE? While Birand was waiting curiously what ARAFAT would do, or rather couldn’t hide that he wanted to see what kind of weapon he was carrying, his pupils were almost dilated. However, there was an answer from YASER ARAFAT that was like a lesson that I never forgot and took notes: MR BIRAND, IF I TAKE IT OUT, I HAVE TO SHOOT.
Why did I share this? Yes, to explain the situation of Aksener… The leader of the IYI PARTY was insisting that ” THE CANDIDATE TO BE ELECTED” and saying that Kilicdaroglu could not win. She wanted to change that too. She was right. Time has already shown the results. It was understood how well she read politics. But it wasn’t enough! She was just as wrong about herself and her party. She couldn’t see THOSE depended on her.
She was missing the fact that she would achieve much more successful results by going her own way without joining the six party opposition table. She was sitting at table with the questionnaires in her hand. The day the CANDIDATE was to be determined, there was a crisis. According to the polls, Aksener wanted the CHP leader not to be a CANDIDATE. Kilicdaroglu was strongly against this and almost fired the IYI PARTY LEADER from the TABLE. The crisis was getting bigger and Aksener was on the screen and making her speech that took its place in political history.
SHE WAS DRAMATICALLY REACHING FOR HER WEAPON, BUT NOT SHOOTING! No one could describe it! She was right about most of the things she said on the screen. Could be. However, would a leader call both Imamoglu and Yavas LIVE and say “BE A CANDIDATE”? Come on, if you wanted to find a CANDIDATE on live, choose at least one of them and ask him! WHY DID YOU EXPAND THE CRISIS FURTHER BY CALLING TO BOTH WHEN YOU NEEDED ONE NAME? Political WISDOM already orders the people who will stand against Kilicdaroglu to deal with these things beforehand! You would meet with TWO MAYORS separately and carry someone with a HIDDEN AGENDA!
As soon as Kemal Kilicdaroglu did not give up, you would take the bomb and throw it in his lap! She didn’t. She got up from the table. She left. She could not find a candidate and she continued. Then she turned and came back to table. She damaged herself and the party! Have there been great injustices and immorality? YES! TRUE. But such was the leadership! You will act according to the masses, what was the need for you! While Mrs. Aksener was wrong about herself, she was completely right the Kilicdaroglu issue…
Panic begins. Resignations were coming from the party, and the headquarters was in turmoil. Everyone was in a rush. The rush to search for a CANDIDATE began in a hurry. In the live broadcast, she even reached Ersan Sen and was thrown to the point of “Let’s talk. We can make you a candidate…”. It wasn’t going to happen, but it was happening. Two heavy players of table were trying to confront President Erdogan with their inexperienced mistakes! Isn’t it like a joke! Even though Aksener understood that table was established to announce Kilicdaroglu’s candidacy, she could not draw her own path…
In fact, a new road opened that day, neither Aksener, nor Imamoglu nor Yavas could see it! Those who could not read and decipher the events would be gone. Probably, these names would no longer be politically like Kilicdaroglu. If you were going to compete with a leader like Erdogan, it was imperative that the ALGORITHM be very solid. However, table was sitting around for a year and dispersing and could not even determine a CANDIDATE! The official announcement of the alliance, which collapsed before 14 May, was delayed after 28 May.
Consider the other side of the coin! President Erdogan has been in power for 21 years. According to political scientists, “WEARINESS” was too much. “LOSS OF VOTES” would not be a surprise. Despite being in power for all these years, he was cleaning up his own party, dealing with the difficulties brought by the COVID-19 virus, being the mediator of the Russia-Ukraine War, preventing economic blows, talking separately with the USA and the EU, and then liquidating the six party opposition TABLE. Someone who does a lot of work against those who can’t announce a CANDIDATE… THAT WAS THE SITUATION. That’s what was seen…
The leading one of those who saw this liquidation was Devlet Bahceli. When he received the results of the elections held on the evening of 28 MAY, he appeared on the screen and gave a meaningful speech. “Global lobby, manipulative ones, peddlers, schemers, provocateurs, moneylenders, bankers, all countries from the USA to the EU have read the edict of disgrace and could not overcome the spirit of Canakkale, the national struggle stance.
Before 14 May, Turkiye was besieged from all sides, all kinds of domestic and foreign operations were treacherously advanced and revived…” He drew attention to the GLOBAL dimension of the elections. And in the end, “…Many things will change in the future, almost everything. It seems so. InshaAllah Turkiye will not change…” Well, what did Devlet Bahceli mean here? I asked this to my friend who knew both Devlet Bahceli and the party very well…
The answer was global! My friend, said that the sentence of Devlet Bahceli should be interpreted as “The election results of May 28 are unbearable for the NATIONAL ALLIANCE. It is quite possible that not only Kilicdaroglu but also other leaders will leave or be forgotten. We know the losers somehow. I hope there will be no surprise names filling their place.”
Strangely enough, an evaluation close to the same line came from the Hungarian leader ORBAN! Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban spoke about the elections in Turkiye. Expressing that Erdogan’s victory in the Presidential Elections in Turkiye brought a great relief for him, Orban said, “If Erdogan had not won, Soros’ man would have opened the borders to immigrants, I prayed a lot for victory.” He normally took table as well as Kilicdaroglu and put them next to SOROS…
I think Devlet Bahceli wanted to draw attention to the new waves that will come from this wing. As I often write, elections would have GLOBAL CONSEQUENCES. Now comes the time when we will see them…
Just wait…
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03.06.2023
Political Articles
LOSERS CLUB
Losers Club
Since Turkiye was very critical after the SECOND WORLD WAR, those who wanted to bring a new system to it lined up. USA-ENGLAND-GERMANY- FRANCE…
As I wrote before, they added us to the series of countries governed by COALITIONS. They established their own defenses through “CONSTITUTIONS” so that there would be no accidents. When those who did politics to BREAK THE GAME came to power, they found the “constitution” like an obstacle in front of them. This was nothing more than closing the way for the country’s NATIONAL POWERS. Political formations, which acted knowingly by seeing the danger, were either divided, dealing with financial concussions or being cut with coups. THIS IS HOW THE WHEEL WORKED. I smile when I watch their discussion in CHP about whether ” Mr. Kilicdaroglu should go or not”
It’s not just about who the PRESIDENT is! It should be known that the cadres, understanding and route should change. Instead of thinking about them, they think it’s a talent to insult the AK PARTY voters. The strange thing is that Anatolia opposes the system brought after 1945, while the CHP member in the cities did not think of anything but “Make Erdogan go”. They did not have the same sensitivity.
They didn’t even realize it. They were trying to get out of the business by defining what was going on as NATIONALISM… They were missing the awakening in ANATOLIA. On the evening of May 28, they ignored hundreds of thousands of people who participated in the election celebrations in dozens of countries. They did not look at the source of this enthusiasm that lasted for 21 years… Erdogan never let go of his struggle with his own party and the opposition, as he made his way, the MASS behind him grew even bigger. He both liquidated the OPPOSING ECOLE in his own party, brought the fully united opposition to its knees and establish a balance of judgment between the WEST and RUSSIA in such a painful period!
Despite all these difficulties, the support given to President Erdogan was to keep the COUNTRY IN THE NATIONAL LINE. This is how ANATOLIA evaluated it. Kilicdaroglu, on the other hand, thought that he would get results by taking Ali Babacan and Ahmet Davutoglu with him and adding Mrs. Aksener to the coalition. There was nothing that the CHP would gain when those who were defeated by Erdogan and stepped aside became a political shelter. No one understood…
Let’s open it…
Let’s go to NATO, EU again… Let’s stop by Demirtas, who saw the game and said “Enough, I’m out”…
It was the French leader MACRON who loudly expressed the idea of INDEPENDENCE in Europe, that is, what needs to be done against the USA. He launched an attack against the US by putting forward the idea that “EUROPEAN ARMY SHOULD BE ESTABLISHED”. He did this as soon as he took office.
French President Emmanuel Macron, who attended the security conference held in Bratislava, the capital of Slovakia, talked about regional security issues during his speech here. Macron, who said that he could no longer rely on the USA for the security of Europe in 2019 and explained what happened with the words ‘NATO is brain dead’, and now he said that Russian President Vladimir Putin started a military operation in Ukraine and woke NATO up with electric shock.
“Today we must do everything we can to help Ukraine carry out an effective counter attack,” the French leader said in his speech and said that Ukraine is currently defending Europe. Emphasizing that lasting peace is at stake, Macron said, “In the most peaceful way, an area must be established that will ensure coexistence with Russia without any sides.” As I wrote yesterday, Noam Chomsky and Macron were meeting at the same point!
Let’s continue…
While Macron wanted to expel NATO, he suddenly had to cling to the structure they criticized with despair with Russia’s move. Turkiye, on the other hand, was giving signs of doing what Macron wanted to do in the same time period! It was buying an S-400 and approaching RUSSIA. One of Turkiye’s biggest problems was THAT IT COULD NOT CHOOSE THE AXIS IT WOULD STAND ON! It wasn’t easy, of course, but this much of indecision was enough. Is it the EU? Is it the USA? Is it China? Is it Russia? WHO is it? We were trying to go by finding balances. It wasn’t happening.
Because we were big players in the MIDDLE EAST and they all had big plans here independent of each other. Either we would clash and fight with all of them, or we would keep the enemies away with new alliances. After July 15, Turkiye found itself in DEEP RELATIONS with Russia. The spirit of time obviously brought this. While the 28-member EUROPEAN UNION, which was basically established against the USA, would reach China through Russia and establish a GLOBAL EMPIRE, the Kremlin came to Bestepe and they reached to the WHITE HOUSE.
England was saying goodbye to the EU with Brexit and we were saying goodbye to the EU with July 15. The rapprochement with Russia was not a PREFERENCE that the Paris-Berlin line liked very much. But they had nothing to do. Turkiye had a card strong enough to deeply shake EUROPE and lead it to destruction. It was not difficult for Ankara to start the REFUGEE WIND, to shake the EU. Neither the USA nor Russia would object to this!
With the start of the ARAB SPRING, the loser in general was EUROPE. France, in AFRICA, and Germany was losing in here. Turkiye, which they have been keeping at the door since the 1960s, was suddenly the country that held the security key of EU CAPITALS. An era was closing, power was changing places. Despite everything, Turkiye was shining and making its way.
The French media wrote “TURKS TOOK Africa FROM US WITH MENEMEN.” for a reason. It had been a long time since a long-term struggle started. Erdogan started this with the liquidations from the AK PARTY. The conditions brought GREAT opportunities in front of Turkiye. President Erdogan was the one who made the best use of this.
That’s what the CHP didn’t understand. They were closing their eyes to the struggle. Even though they did not enter this lane, the people voted and called it “KEEP GOING”. It was insufficient to explain what happened only through the PKK/YPG, it would be incomplete. Both TURKIYE and ERDOGAN chose their side in a GLOBAL STRUGGLE. The TABLE set up by Mr. Kilicdaroglu was on the other side.
On the side whose defeat is inevitable… That was the point. They still don’t seem to understand…
Demirtas understood and stepped back. We are watching Mr. Kilicdaroglu…
NOTE: When looking carefully at Demirtas’s statements, A DUAL STRUCTURE stands out at the party. So there are TWO ECOLES that I often write here too. Kilicdaroglu and Demirtas would also be defeated in their own party because they were on the losing side on the GLOBAL SCALE. This was inevitable. There were no signs indicating otherwise for now.
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02.06.2023
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