Political Articles
A MESSAGE FROM THE CENTRAL BANK
For weeks, all we talk about is the INTEREST…
Central Bank Governor Şahap Kavcıoğlu surprisingly lowered the interest rate by 100 basis points to 18 percent at the meeting on September 23.
This was the first step. However, the CENTRAL BANK continued to be talked about because of the changing presidents, the assistants and the dismissed members. Rumors spreaded even more when the CHP leader Mr. Kemal visited the bank. We were seeing moves that we weren’t really used to.
Central Bank Vice Presidents Prof. Dr. Semih Tumen and Dr. Uğur Namık Küçük and PPK Member Prof. Dr. Abdullah Yavaş’s dismissal brought the question “WHAT IS HAPPENING IN THE CENTER?” After Erdogan was elected in 2002, he went through many struggles. Now we don’t have a chance to go back and list them all. One of the important points of all the CONFLICT was the management of the CENTER. In the final analysis, the most important things were in separate hands. Many economists explained this with the thesis that “CENTRAL BANKS SHOULD BE INDEPENDENT”. On the other hand, there was a leader who came with the ELECTION and won every election he entered.
Erdogan, who WANTED and received VOTES and wanted to continue to receive it, saw another way…
It wasn’t even a secret.
In a speech he made about the economy in Istanbul in January, he said, “I need investment, employment, production, export. If these four topics do not exist, nothing will happen, we need these to be proud. The real job is to bring inflation down by lowering interest rates.”
In this direction, the Center wanted to accelerate its RETURN TO INVESTMENT by lowering the price of MONEY.
I’ve read all the economists. I also took notes. The debate is really big. But why was ERDOĞAN taking risks? Wouldn’t it be much easier if he didn’t?
He would have wiped out the crackling noises if he had agreed with the general assessments! But he was doing the opposite. In the final analysis, he was the one who would stand before the nation and ask for a vote.
He was moving forward on his way.
According to some economists, Erdogan was acting on a theory developed by Irving Fisher. According to this theory, there was a direct correlation, not an inverse, between inflation and interest rates… This is how the legendary name of the 1930s looked at the economy. He evaluated the triad of nominal interest, real interest and inflation from a different perspective.
As of the end of September, looking at the world, a really interesting picture was seen!
In the days when the Central Bank reduced the interest rates by 100 basis points, TURKEY was the 10th in the WORLD in high interest rates and was the champion in Europe!
The list in the INTEREST ranking was as follows: Venezuela was at the top with 54.06 percent. Zimbabwe is in second place with 40 percent, followed by Argentina with 38 percent, Yemen with 27 percent, Surinam with 25 percent, Angola with 20 percent, Liberia with 20 percent, Sudan with 19.6 percent and 18 percent, followed by IRAN and TURKEY…
Venezuela, which is struggling with the economic and political crisis, is at the top of the “interest league” today.
A place I’ve been to and that I know. I saw that words fail there! In a way, they are stuck.
The state is not taking any actions.
They don’t have a chance to move.
It is not given anyway.
Imagine that inflation is changing while signing commercial agreements!
Even one minute matters! Another country struggling with crises like Venezuela is ARGENTINA. They don’t let the President into the stadium! Think about it!
Constant confusion, constant chaos… Crises have taken away all the energy of such a beautiful country. It’s like a ghost now…
There is also the other side of the coin!
For example, even though GAS and OIL prices increased, inflation in the markets reaches 30 percent, INTEREST IN EUROPE is ZERO!
Also, Denmark and Sweden apply NEGATIVE INTEREST, like JAPAN. Switzerland has the lowest policy rate in the world with -0.75 percent. The UK has 0.1, Poland 0.1, Israel 0.1, Australia 0.1, Singapore 0.22 and the United States 0.25. China is 3.85 percent.
I think the Central Bank was saying this!
Gas, oil and food are also expensive in Europe! Prices increased like never before. However, because they see this as temporary, they do not bring the INTEREST card to the table. They expect us to do the opposite. Why should we bow down to this…
President Erdogan persistently put this card on the field. According to the opposition, things will get worse.
According to many economists, this is the case. I follow what’s going on because of my job. No one cuts the branch they are sitting on.
In a chaotic time brought by the pandemic, never…
President ERDOĞAN has won all of his struggles so far. Even though he went through tough times, he won and looked forward… I think he’s getting ready for the final and biggest game.
I’ve seen cases where they called “he can’t get out of here” and he did. There are many cases where he misled everyone. He keeps doing what he believes while some people are waiting for him to fall… This is not an easy move… President Erdogan wants to end the match before 2023. If the goal is scored, the opposition ends.
Elections will go no further than a formality. Let’s see what will happen…
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22.10.2021
Political Articles
CAPTAIN
Captain
On the way to the SECOND ROUND, I shared Kemal Kilicdaroglu’s change of lanes, and before President Erdogan’s group speech on June 1, 2022 and the passwords there. Let’s take a general look at May 28 today. Let’s analyze what’s going on from this point of view…
The development and being on the track of the political system in Turkiye happened after the second world war. The USA came to EUROPE as a savior, dived among the forces fighting each other TWICE and ended it. The USA, which ended the war with its military and economic power, brought the new system it wanted everywhere and did what could never be tried and done before. IT WAS EMERGING THE WORLD EMPIRE. Besides its military power, the DOLLAR was becoming reserve money and building an enormous system. At the end of the war, the CONSTITUTION of countries such as GERMANY, ITALY and JAPAN was made by Washington and the Pentagon.
Although Turkiye did not enter the war, it was naturally affected by the new role distribution that started with BRETTON WOODS and was doing its part. We were advancing in the parliamentary system with multi-party life. The establishment of COALITIONS was the main goal! When this system came to many countries, things were running differently here. Those who adapted Turkiye to the system established after the SECOND WORLD WAR could not get the results they wanted in the ballot BOX. Even though the system was brought, it did not work out with Adnan Menderes-Celal Bayar. When the people started to vote, they did not use their preference for those who held control of the system. This was seen. Action was taken.
Those who came out of the ballot box were consented to the role of SECOND CAPTAIN ON THE AIRCRAFT. You are elected, you come by voting, but when the CAPTAIN wants, he can take the controller and disable you. There was a CAPTAIN that the nation did not see. He stepped in whenever he wanted. We were mostly experiencing this in the form of MEMORANDUM-WARNING-COUP- FINANCIAL OPERATIONS. The people could not liquidate the CAPTAIN, on the contrary, the CAPTAIN threw the CO-PILOT chosen by the people out of the cabin when they deemed it necessary. There were many examples… After the 1960 COUP, there was a depression. Although it was not taught in schools, this was the case.
Upon this, CAPTAIN PILOT’s bosses decided to do what they did in other countries here as well. No matter who was elected according to this movement plan, there would be a CONSTITUTION they would comply with. The constitution would be made by CAPTAIN and the power behind it, and even if the CAPTAIN was not on the plane, its landing and takeoff would be controlled. The 1960 STRUGGLE was actually a play staged to make a CONSTITUTION. In the following years, the same ANXIETY laid beneath its change from time to time!
Even if you were elected, you didn’t have a chance to rule the country. So what was the IMPACTS that took the stage as the CAPTAIN? IT WAS ABSOLUTELY THE APPLICATION OF MULTINATIONAL DECISIONS.
Let’s continue.
You are establishing a party, you are standing before the nation, you are telling about your plan and program, but even if you were elected and came, you could not be a BOSS. The AIRCRAFT would never be under your control. Those who insisted and said “I MANAGE THE AIRCRAFT” were also being pushed down the cabin one by one. From Menderes to Demirel… There were many examples… THE PEOPLE REBELLED AGAINST THE DRESS THAT WAS SEWED OUTSIDE AND DID NOT FIT, THEY WERE SHOWING IT AT THE BALLOT BOX WITH THEIR VOTES, BUT THE CAPTAIN OBJECTED AND COULD PUSH THE NATION aside.
The excuses that were spread out were usually based on reactions. When difficulty was felt in these two systems, engineering comes into play, “TURKISH” and “ISLAMIST” pieces are cut off from the parties in the CENTER, and the way for the WEAKENING OF THE MAIN MOVEMENT was opened.
Oddly enough, in Bretton Woods, the USA was adjusting the world, and GERMANY and the UK, which were on the sidelines, were going down to the field to protect their forces here. The losers on the GLOBAL SCALE were also fighting among themselves here. It was not possible for the nation to understand or analyze this either. Both institutions and capital were being divided. This was what happened from the 1960 coup to 1971, from 1980 to February 28, from 17-25 to July 15. A mind was constantly finding and looking for someone to put in the state room. Sometimes this was the army, sometimes the CAPITAL, sometimes communities, sometimes parties. There was always a PLAYER.
Even if the NATION VOTED, it could not come to power… Such a CONTRADICTION was going on. This was roughly the case. Erdogan was coming and eagerly getting to work, but he was also wanted to be liquidated by his party. He didn’t know. He was living and learning. The system was in progress by changing its shell and case. The difference was that Erdogan was determined and did not get scared and retreat.
Erdogan, who progressed by solving chronic problems, was the person who was asked to be expelled from the CABINET since he came. He always resisted and won every time. There were several reasons for this. The most important thing was that he could explain himself to the NATION. When he managed to come together with them, he was never alone. He had a story, a case, a voice, a message. The public was reading and understanding this correctly.
This was the point where CHP members had difficulty understanding. Even if Erdogan was the PRESIDENT, he was working hard like the first day. He was trying to solve every negativity. The country was growing and sitting on an independent line. As these were seen, the other party was PREPARING AN ATTACK WITH NEW METHODS! Headlines such as “ERDOGAN MUST GO”, “ERDOGAN’S PERIOD IS OVER”, “KILICDAROGLU, THE NAME TO END THE ERDOGAN PERIOD” were actually a request to return to the system that was brought long ago. They were camouflaging it by calling him a “DICTATOR”.
They were taking the state with the covers of “ERDOGAN MUST GO FOR DEMOCRACY”. In other words, while Erdogan represented Turkiye’s position on an independent line, the other party was rebelling against it. That’s why they were pushing nonstop. Does CHP leader Kilicdaroglu know these? I don’t know. However, I think he knows because he ‘asked for pardon’. The first round revealed that people did not show much interest in this. Maybe Mr. Kilicdaroglu was very good-intentioned and sincere.
However, the only motivation that brought together the components of the TABLE HE ESTABLISHED WAS STANDING AGAINST ERDOGAN. IT WAS PERCEIVED AS THE GAME OF THOSE WHO WANTED TO BRING THE OLD SYSTEM BACK. A SECURED BOND COULD NOT BE ESTABLISHED BETWEEN THE TABLE AND THE NATION. Erdogan, on the other hand, did not have such a problem.
For this reason, on May 28, the fight will be between those who wants to send Erdogan away from the cabinet and those who defends him. This naturally brought with it the question of who would rule TURKIYE.
Kilicdaroglu was also changing his lane and declaring that he had left the Captain’s ecole. And would that be convincing? Would he get something in return? WE WILL SEE THIS ON SUNDAY. On one hand, Erdogan, who has been flying with the nation for 21 years, on the other hand, Kilicdaroglu, who is a candidate to be the NEW CAPTAIN…
That was the brief definition of the battle…
It’s almost time. We will see…
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27.05.2023
Political Articles
WAGON CHANGE
Wagon Change
In general, we look at what is happening with the weakness of loving the uniform. I guess this has nothing to do with education either. You love what you love, you don’t like what you don’t like. This is a bit like this with us. For many reasons, a mass wants “Mr. Kilicdaroglu to win, Erdogan to go”. This is not difficult to understand! Another point is difficult to understand!
Kilicdaroglu first planned a table on his way to May 14th. He also established it. As I often write, a player had to be included as NATIONAL CORE. This was Mrs. Aksener. The same CORE was standing with the MHP on the opposite side. Mr. Kilicdaroglu walked for a long time with this TABLE he founded and did not announce his CANDIDACY.
When he saw the question I often asked, “Friends at the table nominated me. I was nominated,” he said. He expected us to believe this too. I don’t know who objected to this from the CHP. Kilicdaroglu also neutralized Mrs. Aksener with the system he brought. He continued his insistence. After the election, it was LATE when he REALIZED THAT HE NEEDED NATIONALIST VOTES.
CHP members are not interested at all, or few are aware of what is going on. Kilicdaroglu, who somehow came to May 14, and Kilicdaroglu, who took the stage after the morning of May 15, were never the same man. Oddly enough, there was no one looking at this! It was obviously easy to continue with the love of uniform. They did not want to lose the comfort.
Addressing from the kitchen of his house, mass meetings, halls, squares and social media until May 14, the CHP leader was a LEADER WHO STAYED CLOSE TO GLOBAL POLICIES, DEFENDED THE EU AND SHOWED THAT PLACE AS A TARGET. That is clear! This has changed. It has changed with the speed of light. That’s what I had a hard time understanding! A leader, a TABLE goes in the opposite direction in one day, and no one was focusing on it. There was no trace of Kilicdaroglu, who laid back on the EU and challenged Russia…
For example, “We, as the CHP, are a party that has turned our faces to contemporary civilization since the date we were founded. As CHP, we see full membership in the European Union among our goals. We believe that Turkiye should take part and contribute to this reconstruction process of Europe…” The CHP leader, who made many speeches, was bringing the job to the point of “In the third month of our government, every citizen will go to the EU without a visa…”.
There was more! Kilicdaroglu who said “It is a pride for me to be likened to German Prime Minister Olaf Scholz,” also said, “We will fully implement all the democratic standards of the European Union without waiting for the EU to open a new chapter. We will make relations with the West a priority, not the Kremlin. We want to be a part of the civilized world…” he was setting his course with these words. He was announcing it. There was no problem with that either.
I often asked, “Mr. Kilicdaroglu, there is a big difference between where you go, where you want to go and where the Turkish STATE wants to go! How will you win here as you lose in the ecole, GLOBAL ARENA, where you lye your back on?”. Mine was just a catch.
I was seeing and underlining the CONTRADICTION. I was stating that Mr. Kilicdaroglu’s march could not be long-term. The results that were announced on May 14 showed that I was right. This was the first ROUND! On the same evening, while the results were announced, there was a CHANGE, a TRANSFORMATION that was not seen in our political history.
Mr. Kilicdaroglu GOES VOLUNTARILY AWAY FROM THE ROUTE HE WANTED TO GO, HE STARTED WALKING ON THE WAY THAT ANKARA WANTED TO GO.
In other words, he was knocking down the table, which he carefully established. Apart from Mrs. Aksener, the names there didn’t matter much anymore. They were not important. They were the players of an ecole, where they went on a trip together. There was no room for them in the new game. Mr. Kilicdaroglu was seeing this by being defeated on May 14th. And he wasn’t resisting, he was changing his side…IN OTHER words, HE NO LONGER LOOKED DIFFERENTLY AT THE EVENTS THAT WOULD AFFECT THE BACKBONE OF THE STATE. He was leaving his friends at the table.
His agreement with Umit Hoca and his signature were more than saying “I CHANGED”! As I wrote yesterday, the DEEP STATE was somehow showing Kilicdaroglu what was right. Seeing that he was on the wrong path, Kilicdaroglu understood this and was doing what was necessary. Kilicdaroglu’s 180-degree change was not a harm for a CHP member. Maybe they didn’t want to see this turn.
I don’t know. But that’s what happened. Already, the CHP leader was saying a lot to justify me. Kilicdaroglu addressed Europe through Syrians in the program he attended. Upon a question about refugees, “We will build the substructure, ensure the safety of life and property, and then send them away. We will also receive the money from the EU. If Europeans do not protect the rights of Syrians, if they do not pay to build their homes, roads, hospitals, we will terminate the Readmission Agreement, they can go to Europe then, what are they even doing here?” he said. This was no different from saying “WE WILL MAKE THE EU SINK IF NECESSARY”. IMMIGRATION flood was the nightmare of the civilization established by the EU. Mr. Kilicdaroglu knew this. He was pulling this card! There was more.
“Our people deserve first-class democracy, not third-class democracy. Whatever democratic rules there are in Canada, Japan, Germany and the Netherlands, let’s bring those democratic rules to our own country. Turkiye can do all of this, it has that capacity. What happens if it doesn’t give a visa? We do not rely on them. We should turn around and say, ‘You are people who do not keep your promise, your ethical values are not right, you are trying to give people a lesson, but you are not actually fulfilling your duty’.
We have provided all the standards of the EU, will they take us or not? They can take it or leave it. I don’t care at all. Turkiye has to be the dominant country of this region. We have a dream. We will make Turkiye the most powerful country of the entire Mediterranean basin…” We were coming to the CHP leader who said “I want a Turkiye that challenges the world” from Kilicdaroglu, who did whatever he wanted until May 14!
Looking between the lines, we came across a Kilicdaroglu profile confirming what President Erdogan did! Whether many people don’t understand or don’t want to see it, that’s exactly the case! The CHP leader seemed to have seen and solved the power, horizon and balance of the COUNTRY overnight. This POWER could attract you, even if you were the CHP leader. The opposite was not possible.
Mr. Kilicdaroglu’s journey was continuing. In different wagons, from different perspectives, with different partners, to a different future… In other words, Kilicdaroglu WAS ALSO PARTICIPATING IN THE CHOICE OF WALKING ON SEPARATE ROADS WITH EUROPE AS THE TURKISH STATE, WHICH STARTED WITH Gezi events and CONTINUED WITH 17-25 OPERATIONS. May 14th brought too many new things. One needs to see those things.
This is the case…
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26.05.2023
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